Tether Market-Cap Shift Signals Potential Bitcoin Bottom, Analyst Says
Tether-issued USDT is the crypto market's leading US dollar stablecoin, and its supply is often viewed as an indicator of market liquidity. During Bitcoin's 2022 bear-market bottom, USDT's market capitalization contracted sharply before selling pressure gradually eased. Similar shifts are therefore used to gauge whether BTC is approaching a cycle low.
A CryptoQuant analyst said the latest data show USDT's market capitalization has fallen by $3.1 billion over the past 60 days, echoing the pattern seen around Bitcoin's 2022 bottom. A sharp supply contraction signals capital outflows in the short term, but historical data suggest it may also indicate that selling pressure is being exhausted, potentially setting the stage for BTC to stabilize and rebound.
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The history behind this eventTether Market Cap Shrinks for Second Month, Clouding Crypto Recovery
Tether's USDT is the world's largest U.S. dollar stablecoin by market capitalization and a key tool for crypto trading and capital transfers. Its supply is often viewed as a gauge of market liquidity. The unusual month-on-month contraction suggests that new capital inflows are losing momentum, potentially limiting the recovery of Bitcoin and other assets.
USDT's market capitalization fell 0.8% in February to $183.61 billion and is on track to shrink for a second consecutive month. Analysts said the overall stablecoin supply had also declined, while demand for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs remained weak over the same period. Together, the two funding indicators have raised concerns about the strength of a sustained crypto-market recovery.
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