Bitcoin Volatility Falls to Historic Lows as Trace Mayer Sees Institutional Appeal Growing
Bitcoin’s price swings have gradually narrowed since the 2017 bull market, contrasting with its early years, when retail trading dominated and liquidity was thinner. Trace Mayer, creator of the Mayer Multiple, said lower volatility reflects growth in the Bitcoin economy and greater market depth, making it easier for companies and institutional investors to include the asset in their portfolios.
The latest data show Bitcoin volatility has fallen sharply from its 2017 peak to around 35, near historic lows. Mayer said the shift does not mean the market has lost momentum, but instead signals greater maturity. With price risk becoming easier to measure, Bitcoin could become more attractive to corporate treasury departments and institutional investors.
All Coverage
1 original reportsThe Backstory
The history behind this eventBitcoin Volatility Hits Cycle Low as Traders Chase Bigger Payoffs
Bitcoin’s appeal to speculative traders has long rested on sharp price swings that create opportunities for leveraged and directional bets. That dynamic is fading as volatility falls to a cycle low and neither bulls nor bears establish control. The lull matters because it suggests risk appetite has not disappeared; instead, traders are reallocating attention toward markets where smaller wagers could generate substantially larger returns.
Bitcoin trading has recently turned unusually quiet, prompting traders who once favored the cryptocurrency’s volatility to pursue opportunities elsewhere. Some are seeking assets or strategies with the potential to deliver fivefold to tenfold payoffs, according to the related report. No specific institution, transaction amount, Bitcoin price or publication date was supplied, leaving the market in a stalemate while participants wait for a catalyst to revive volatility.
Bitcoin Volatility Keeps Falling as Institutional Hedging Caps Price Swings
Bitcoin has traded mostly around $70,000 since mid-February. Safe-haven demand stemming from the war in Iran has provided support at $65,000, while U.S. Treasury yields have constrained gains above $75,000. Tesseract CEO James Harris said institutions sold covered calls in the first quarter to collect premiums, forcing market makers to buy on declines and sell into rallies, thereby suppressing volatility.
On June 1, CryptoQuant researcher Axel Adler Jr. said one-week realized volatility had fallen 56% this quarter, from 39% to 17.2%. Bitcoin had remained between $60,000 and $80,000 for 114 consecutive days. Binance's 30-day inflows had increased by $5.6 billion since April, while wallets holding 1,000–10,000 BTC accumulated 55,450 BTC on May 30. Analysts expect a 10%–20% move after a breakout.
Subscribe to Mark Radar Weekly
Every Friday, the week's strongest signals in your inbox. Unsubscribe anytime.
If you search news on Google, you can set Mark Radar as a preferred source—our coverage will show up more often in your results. Set as preferred source on Google →