Bitcoin’s Correlation With Software Stocks Surges, Challenging Digital-Gold Narrative
Bitcoin earned its “digital gold” label from its scarce supply and inflation-resistant properties. But since institutions began adding it to multi-asset portfolios through spot ETFs, its trading has increasingly been driven by interest rates, the dollar and global liquidity. Strategy’s leveraged Bitcoin-buying model has further linked crypto risk with software stocks, making Bitcoin behave more like a high-beta growth asset and raising questions about whether investors can rely on it for diversification.
By the end of February 2026, Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) had risen to 0.73 and had remained above 0.5 for more than 18 months. Bitcoin had also fallen 50% from its October 6, 2025, peak of $126,210. NYDIG said on March 8, however, that the 90-day correlation was close to 0.5, meaning equities could explain only 25% of Bitcoin’s price movements. Both assets are influenced by macroeconomic conditions and liquidity, which is not yet sufficient evidence of structural convergence.
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The history behind this eventBitcoin Decouples From Software Stocks as Iran War and AI Reshape Market Dynamics
Bitcoin has historically moved in tandem with high-growth technology stocks, but their trajectories began to diverge after the Iran war erupted on February 28 and generative AI altered profit expectations for the software industry. The market uses the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) as a gauge of software-stock performance. The decoupling suggests investors are reassessing Bitcoin’s role as an asset.
The latest data showed that Bitcoin’s correlation coefficient with IGV had plunged from nearly 1.0 to 0.13. While software stocks recently fell more than 2%, Bitcoin gained over 5% and reclaimed $69,000, indicating that investors no longer view it solely as a more volatile proxy for technology stocks as geopolitical risks rise.
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