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SpaceX Pre-IPO Market on Hyperliquid Falls 27% in Three Weeks

1 reports · First detected 2026-06-10 · Last active 2026-06-10

SpaceX is not yet publicly listed, but Hyperliquid's SPCX pre-IPO perpetual contract allows investors to speculate in advance on its IPO valuation and first-day performance. The contract does not represent actual ownership of SpaceX shares. Its price primarily reflects market expectations, making its volatility an important gauge of IPO enthusiasm and risk appetite.

SPCX has fallen about 27% over the past three weeks, signaling a marked decline in expectations for SpaceX's post-listing premium. Based on a SpaceX offering price of $135 a share, SPCX's implied first-day IPO premium has dropped from about 60% in May to roughly 16%, though its current trading price remains above the offering price.

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1 original reports

The Backstory

The history behind this event
Hyperliquid’s SPCX Daily Volume Tops $1.4 Billion, Setting HIP-3 Record2026-06-16 · 1 reports · similarity 0.82

Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 mechanism allows developers to create permissionless perpetual futures markets. After SpaceX listed on Nasdaq in 2026, the SPCX contract derived from its stock ticker quickly attracted capital. The surge shows that DeFi perpetuals are expanding beyond crypto assets and commodities into equities, reshaping the on-chain derivatives market.

The latest data show daily trading volume for SPCX perpetuals on Hyperliquid exceeded $1.4 billion, the highest since the HIP-3 platform was launched. The contract accounted for about 30% of Hyperliquid’s total trading volume that day. The 2026 milestone made SPCX HIP-3’s largest market and highlighted rapidly growing demand for equity perpetuals.

Arkham Flags Whale’s More Than $18 Million Onchain Long Position in SpaceX-Linked SPCX Token2026-06-12 · 3 reports · similarity 0.81

SPCX is a synthetic token linked to SpaceX’s market capitalization, not shares in the company itself. After SpaceX listed on Nasdaq, related trading quickly expanded to Hyperliquid, onchain decentralized exchanges and Binance. The potential impact of large leveraged positions on prices and liquidation risk has become a key focus for the market.

Arkham initially revealed that address 0x9cc had opened an SPCX long position worth about $18.5 million on Hyperliquid, setting a platform record for such a position. As of July 19, 2026, the position had increased to $22.3 million, while SPCX’s synthetic price was trading at a premium of about 30% to its reference price.

Hyperliquid SpaceX Pre-IPO Contract Plunges 45% in Flash Crash, Triggers $1.5 Million in Liquidations2026-06-11 · 4 reports · similarity 0.85

The SpaceX Pre-IPO contract on Hyperliquid allows investors to trade expectations for the company's valuation before it goes public. Such onchain derivatives lack a public-market price and sufficient liquidity, leaving pricing heavily dependent on platform mechanisms. Controversy over Trade.xyz's refusal to conduct a rebase has further highlighted concerns about price calibration and investor protection.

The contract recently plunged 45% in a late-night flash crash lasting about 30 minutes. Market depth was insufficient to absorb large sell orders, triggering cascading liquidations that closed roughly $1.51 million in leveraged positions, with losses particularly concentrated among retail investors. Reports did not disclose the exact date of the incident, but the volatility has become a major test of pricing and risk controls in the onchain Pre-IPO market.

Vida’s Leveraged Short on SpaceX Perpetual Contract Sparks Market Debate2026-06-11 · 1 reports · similarity 0.82

Formula News founder Vida publicly took a leveraged short position in the SPCX SpaceX perpetual futures contract, turning the private company’s valuation into a target for crypto-market speculation ahead of its listing. SpaceX is reportedly valued at $1.8 trillion, and conflicting views about its growth potential and whether it is overpriced have intensified the battle between bullish and bearish traders.

The latest trading data showed Vida opening a leveraged SPCX short position on a cryptocurrency exchange. The trade drew community attention to the risk that high funding rates could erode the position and that a sharp price increase could trigger a short squeeze. SpaceX is expected to formally list on June 12, putting pre-listing price volatility, its $1.8 trillion valuation and bearish positions in the market spotlight.

Hyperliquid Launches SpaceX Pre-IPO Perpetual as HYPE Defies Market With 7% Gain2026-05-18 · 2 reports · similarity 0.86

Hyperliquid is a decentralized derivatives platform focused on perpetual contracts, while Trade.xyz uses its markets to offer synthetic price exposure to private companies. SpaceX has yet to go public and investment access remains limited. The contract therefore allows traders to speculate on changes in its valuation, but does not confer ownership of SpaceX shares and carries leverage and price-dislocation risks.

On July 20, 2026, Trade.xyz launched the first SpaceX pre-IPO perpetual contract on Hyperliquid. Its reference valuation was $1.78 trillion, while the market-implied valuation reached as high as $2.56 trillion. The news sent the HYPE token up 7% over 24 hours, bucking a decline in Bitcoin over the same period.

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