Bernstein Backs Circle With $190 Target, Sees Stablecoins as Core AI and Payments Infrastructure

Circle issues the U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin USDC and earns most of its revenue from interest generated by the reserve assets backing the token. As stablecoins increasingly enter payments and financial markets, Circle’s profitability has become a key gauge of USDC adoption and the digital-asset industry’s development.

Circle reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.43 for the fourth quarter of 2025, above Wall Street’s estimate of $0.35 and about 23% ahead of expectations. Investors bet that stablecoin demand would continue to grow after the results, sending Circle shares up more than 15% at one point in U.S. premarket trading.

Circle issues USDC, which is pegged one-to-one to the US dollar, and earns most of its revenue from interest on reserve assets. With interest rates remaining elevated and tokenized markets expanding, its role is shifting from a crypto trading tool to payment and settlement infrastructure. Clear Street said the value of tokenized assets grew from about $1.5 billion in early 2023 to roughly $26.5 billion in March 2026.

As of March 16, 2026, Circle shares had risen more than 100% over one month. The stock gained 8% that day to $124.37 and was up about 49% year to date, while Bernstein had set a $190 price target. A March 13 report said Aon was piloting stablecoin premium payments with Coinbase and Paxos, while Wells Fargo had filed a trademark application for “WFUSD” covering trading, payments, wallets and custody.

Circle issues USDC and generates most of its revenue from interest on the dollar reserves backing the stablecoin. Investment bank William Blair believes stablecoins are evolving from crypto trading instruments into infrastructure for cross-border payments. With regulations and networks still fragmented across jurisdictions, Circle’s payment network and USDC’s liquidity are key to maintaining its market leadership.

William Blair said in its latest report that Circle’s stock had recently outperformed other crypto-related shares, interpreting the gains as evidence that investors recognize the resilience of USDC’s market capitalization and Circle’s infrastructure advantages. However, the available information does not disclose the report’s exact publication date, the size of the share-price gain, USDC’s market capitalization or a price target, and those figures should not be inferred.