Bernstein Sees Prediction-Market Trading Volume Reaching $1 Trillion by 2030

Prediction markets allow users to trade contracts tied to the outcomes of elections, sporting events and economic data releases. Wall Street brokerage Bernstein believes these products are moving from a niche market into mainstream financial services as regulation becomes clearer and crypto infrastructure matures, with platforms such as Robinhood and Coinbase set to serve as key gateways.

Bernstein's latest forecast puts annual global prediction-market trading volume at $1 trillion by 2030 and identifies Robinhood and Coinbase as key players. With the 2026 World Cup expected to spur trading on sporting events, volume linked to a single event could reach about $10 billion, marking an important inflection point for the market's expansion.