Polymarket
+ FollowPolymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market where users can trade on the outcomes of political, sporting, financial and geopolitical events. The World Cup and geopolitical developments have recently boosted trading volumes, while the market-implied probability of the CLARITY Act passing has fallen to a record low. France and the Czech Republic have also blocked the platform, while its path to legalization in the United States and risks involving insider trading and settlement manipulation are drawing scrutiny. Polymarket's probabilities are often viewed as a gauge of collective expectations, but regulatory changes and the reliability of its prices remain key areas to watch.
Key Moments
13 selectedThe full history is split into 13 equal periods by event count, taking the most-covered story from each. Coverage rises and falls with the news cycle, so sampling period by period keeps the most recent events from taking everything.
- 2026-08-14 JPMorgan Cuts Polymarket Banking Ties Over Regulatory Concerns 7 reports
- 2026-07-28 Judge Blocks Minnesota Prediction Market Ban, Handing Polymarket Win 6 reports
- 2026-07-18 Polymarket Plans Legal Challenge to France’s Nationwide Block 9 reports
- 2026-06-26 Polymarket Hacked for $2.9 Million, Pledges Full User Reimbursements 5 reports
- 2026-05-28 Google Engineer Charged Over Alleged Polymarket Insider Trading 5 reports
- 8 more key moments Sign up to see the full context
Event Timeline
174 core events71 peripheral mentions — events mainly about something else
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